ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.ZTO

Industrials
Neutral

ASignal's systematic analysis rates ZTO as Neutral. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a market cap of $17.05B, a P/E of 13.18, a 17.9% net margin, and 22.0% year-over-year revenue growth.

Reflects the latest available analysis · analyzed Jun 7, 2026

The case on ZTO

Bull vs bear, surfaced by ASignal's framework agents from public market data. The precise verdict: ASignal Rank, confidence, and price targets - is in the app.

Bull case
  • Strong revenue growth (22.0%) indicating high top-line momentum
  • Healthy free cash flow of $3.53B supporting financial flexibility
  • Low forward P/E of 9.81x suggesting valuation discount relative to earnings
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35x indicating conservative leverage
  • Positive return on equity at 14.88%, near efficient capital use threshold
VS
Bear case
  • Negative MACD histogram and price below both SMA20 and SMA50 signaling downtrend
  • Price momentum negative at -0.031, reflecting recent downward pressure
  • High dividend yield of 310% likely erroneous or non-sustainable (requires data verification)

Key facts

Sector
Industrials
Market cap
$17.05B
P/E ratio
13.18
Gross margin
24.9%
Net margin
17.9%
Rev growth YoY
22.0%
Price (Jun 7, 2026)
$22.28
Subscriber-only

See the full verdict on ZTO

ASignal Rank (1-4), confidence score, Buffett / Ackman / Dalio grades, price targets, and the full reasoning behind the call.

How ASignal analyzes ZTO

Most investors never get a second opinion, let alone several. ASignal runs ZTO past a panel of specialized investor-framework agents, each calibrated on a distinct school of investing: Warren Buffett's value discipline, Bill Ackman's activist lens, and Ray Dalio's macro view. They don't just score in isolation, they argue: a dedicated Challenger agent pushes back on every conclusion until the panel settles on a reasoned consensus, weighing fundamentals, macro conditions, market sentiment, and price action together. The kind of cross-examined read that takes a research desk hours, ASignal delivers in under two minutes, refreshed every cycle.

The signal direction and the bull and bear case above are free. The precise read, ASignal Rank, framework grades, price targets, and full reasoning, stays with subscribers.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Stock Analysis - ASignal rates it Neutral