United Parcel Service, Inc.UPS

Industrials
Neutral

ASignal's systematic analysis rates UPS as Neutral. United Parcel Service, Inc. has a market cap of $96.00B, a P/E of 18.28, a 5.9% net margin, and -1.6% year-over-year revenue growth.

Reflects the latest available analysis · analyzed Jul 16, 2026

The case on UPS

Bull vs bear, surfaced by ASignal's framework agents from public market data. The precise verdict: ASignal Rank, confidence, and price targets - is in the app.

Bull case
  • Positive MACD histogram indicating strengthening upward momentum
  • Price trading above 20-day and 50-day moving averages (SMA20: 109.35, SMA50: 105.20)
  • Strong return on equity (ROE) of 33.35%
  • Forward P/E of 14.09x below current P/E of 18.28x, suggesting earnings recovery expectations
  • Free cash flow of $4.63B provides financial flexibility
VS
Bear case
  • RSI at 69.77, approaching overbought territory
  • Negative year-over-year revenue growth (-1.60%) and earnings growth (-27.20%)
  • High debt-to-equity ratio of 1.82x, above conservative threshold of 1.0
  • Payout ratio of 106.15%, indicating dividend not fully covered by earnings
  • Low Reddit mentions (1), suggesting limited retail investor interest

Key facts

Sector
Industrials
Market cap
$96.00B
P/E ratio
18.28
Gross margin
22.4%
Net margin
5.9%
Rev growth YoY
-1.6%
Price (Jul 16, 2026)
$112.94

Peers

Clustered with UPS by analysis-profile similarity.

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See the full verdict on UPS

ASignal Rank (1-4), confidence score, Buffett / Ackman / Dalio grades, price targets, and the full reasoning behind the call.

How ASignal analyzes UPS

Most investors never get a second opinion, let alone several. ASignal runs UPS past a panel of specialized investor-framework agents, each calibrated on a distinct school of investing: Warren Buffett's value discipline, Bill Ackman's activist lens, and Ray Dalio's macro view. They don't just score in isolation, they argue: a dedicated Challenger agent pushes back on every conclusion until the panel settles on a reasoned consensus, weighing fundamentals, macro conditions, market sentiment, and price action together. The kind of cross-examined read that takes a research desk hours, ASignal delivers in under two minutes, refreshed every cycle.

The signal direction and the bull and bear case above are free. The precise read, ASignal Rank, framework grades, price targets, and full reasoning, stays with subscribers.

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis - ASignal rates it Neutral